Even as many national polls show the race getting closer, Obama still has a very clear advantage in the Electoral College, where it could be even worse. If not for previous elections weighed into my formula, Obama would also have Missouri and North Carolina. Even Indiana is on the verge of moving towards the Democrat.
If national polls continue to get closer in the next couple of days, election night may prove not to be a huge blowout. If the present numbers continue though, the election will be over once Virgina is called for Obama. McCain can't win without this state, along with Colorado, Nevada, Indiana, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, among others. A McCain victory would be nothing short of a miracle.
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Could I Vote for Obama?
Unless you know me personally, you probably wouldn't know that I'm not affiliated with a party. Although in more instances than not, I side with with Republicans, it doesn't mean I don't put a lot of stock in what each candidate has to say and wait to make my decision.
So for all of you curious as to who I have favored throughout the campaign, you might be surprised that I have changed my mind on a few occasions. Going through primary season, my favorite two candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee, and yes; Democrat John Edwards. Well obviously, Edwards turned out to be a bust for more than a few reasons, but Huckabee seemed poised for a real shot. Ultimately, I have ended up having to choose between John McCain and Barack Obama. When these two candidate settled, I initially favored Obama because where I'm from, we could use a bit of change in Washington. The more I heard what he had to say however, he seemed more about press and talk. I started to feel sure that I would settle with McCain, but then the vice-president picks rolled in. I hated the pick of Sarah Palin. Do I think she is completely clean of the whole troopergate thing. No way. Combine that problem with terrible inexperience, and the pick of Joe Biden who is very skilled, and I favored Obama again. For a long time. However, Once again I grab that impression that he is just another politician. He can literally say anything he wants right now and neither the media or independents who are struggling in life will actually look at what he says.
Is everything he says impossible. No. I love some his ideas, but the world doesn't change because we have a black president of the United States. The economy doesn't look at the president and say, "Oh, now it's a democrat, let's start looking good."
I sat down, looked at the issues over and over again. Looked at the various plans, problems, and solutions to our country and I can't help it. I favor more with John McCain. Barack Obama could make history next week, and should he win, I wish him and our country the best of luck. I don't doubt that he has the capability of leading this country, and for the people of America, I hope he really does bring us hope. But when it comes to me, my values, my ideas; McCain is speaking more of my realistic language.
So for all of you curious as to who I have favored throughout the campaign, you might be surprised that I have changed my mind on a few occasions. Going through primary season, my favorite two candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee, and yes; Democrat John Edwards. Well obviously, Edwards turned out to be a bust for more than a few reasons, but Huckabee seemed poised for a real shot. Ultimately, I have ended up having to choose between John McCain and Barack Obama. When these two candidate settled, I initially favored Obama because where I'm from, we could use a bit of change in Washington. The more I heard what he had to say however, he seemed more about press and talk. I started to feel sure that I would settle with McCain, but then the vice-president picks rolled in. I hated the pick of Sarah Palin. Do I think she is completely clean of the whole troopergate thing. No way. Combine that problem with terrible inexperience, and the pick of Joe Biden who is very skilled, and I favored Obama again. For a long time. However, Once again I grab that impression that he is just another politician. He can literally say anything he wants right now and neither the media or independents who are struggling in life will actually look at what he says.
Is everything he says impossible. No. I love some his ideas, but the world doesn't change because we have a black president of the United States. The economy doesn't look at the president and say, "Oh, now it's a democrat, let's start looking good."
I sat down, looked at the issues over and over again. Looked at the various plans, problems, and solutions to our country and I can't help it. I favor more with John McCain. Barack Obama could make history next week, and should he win, I wish him and our country the best of luck. I don't doubt that he has the capability of leading this country, and for the people of America, I hope he really does bring us hope. But when it comes to me, my values, my ideas; McCain is speaking more of my realistic language.
Just Something to Think About
7 1/2 YEARS OF GEORGE BUSH
George Bush has been in office for 7 1/2 years. The first six the economy was fine. Remember, it was Iraq that costs Republican's in 2006, not the economy.
At the end of 2005:
1) Consumer confidence stood at a 2 1/2 year high;
2) Regular gasoline sold for $2.19 a gallon;
3) the unemployment rate was 4.5%.
4) the DOW JONES hit a record high--14,000 +
5) American's were buying new cars,taking cruises, vacations overseas, living large!
But American's wanted 'CHANGE'. So, in 2006 they voted in a Democratic Congress and yes--we got 'CHANGE' all right.
In the PAST YEAR:
1) Consumer confidence has plummeted;
2) Gasoline is now over $4 a gallon & climbing!;
3) Unemployment is up to 5.5% (a 10% increase);
4) Americans have seen their home equity drop by $12 TRILLION DOLLARS and prices still dropping;
5) 1% of American homes are in foreclosure.
6) as I write, THE DOW is likely around a new low~~
$2.5 TRILLION DOLLARS HAS EVAPORATED FROM THEIR STOCKS, BONDS & MUTUAL FUNDS INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS! YES, IN 2006 AMERICA VOTED FOR CHANGE...AND WE SURE GOT IT!
REMEMBER THE PRESIDENT HAS NO CONTROL OVER ANY OF THESE ISSUES, ONLY CONGRESS.
AND WHAT HAS CONGRESS DONE IN THE LAST TWO YEARS?
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING.
NOW THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT CLAIMS HE IS GOING TO REALLY GIVE US CHANGE ALONG WITH A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS!!!!
JUST HOW MUCH MORE 'CHANGE' DO YOU THINK YOU CAN STAND?
NOTE: This does not mean a full pledged Republican, just saw this on the internet and wanted to see what you thought.
George Bush has been in office for 7 1/2 years. The first six the economy was fine. Remember, it was Iraq that costs Republican's in 2006, not the economy.
At the end of 2005:
1) Consumer confidence stood at a 2 1/2 year high;
2) Regular gasoline sold for $2.19 a gallon;
3) the unemployment rate was 4.5%.
4) the DOW JONES hit a record high--14,000 +
5) American's were buying new cars,taking cruises, vacations overseas, living large!
But American's wanted 'CHANGE'. So, in 2006 they voted in a Democratic Congress and yes--we got 'CHANGE' all right.
In the PAST YEAR:
1) Consumer confidence has plummeted;
2) Gasoline is now over $4 a gallon & climbing!;
3) Unemployment is up to 5.5% (a 10% increase);
4) Americans have seen their home equity drop by $12 TRILLION DOLLARS and prices still dropping;
5) 1% of American homes are in foreclosure.
6) as I write, THE DOW is likely around a new low~~
$2.5 TRILLION DOLLARS HAS EVAPORATED FROM THEIR STOCKS, BONDS & MUTUAL FUNDS INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS! YES, IN 2006 AMERICA VOTED FOR CHANGE...AND WE SURE GOT IT!
REMEMBER THE PRESIDENT HAS NO CONTROL OVER ANY OF THESE ISSUES, ONLY CONGRESS.
AND WHAT HAS CONGRESS DONE IN THE LAST TWO YEARS?
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING.
NOW THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT CLAIMS HE IS GOING TO REALLY GIVE US CHANGE ALONG WITH A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS!!!!
JUST HOW MUCH MORE 'CHANGE' DO YOU THINK YOU CAN STAND?
NOTE: This does not mean a full pledged Republican, just saw this on the internet and wanted to see what you thought.
Time for My Personal Calls for Election 2008
Good news, I will be covering the election everday from here on out and will be updating my projections on the 24th, 31st, and the day of the election, so be sure check back often for updates.
And now for my calls three weeks from the election. Every week I take the oppurtunity to change these calls up until the election, however I don't have to change them.
My presidential call: Barack Obama will win the election on November 4th, 2008.
But it won't be a landslide. Although McCain is trailing right now, I predict that he will regain Ohio, Florida, Missouri, and North Carolina. Nevada will be too close to call, however it will be Colorado that puts Obama over the edge, as he edges McCain by three or four points. He will have little struggle in New Hampshire, Michigan, Wisconsion, and Pennsylvania.
My Senate call: Democrats take 57 seats, and the GOP hold on to filibuster powers.
Alaska remains the toss-up, as it depends on how the trial of Ted Stevens goes, but I expect the Democrats to make gains in New Hampshire, Oregan, and New Mexico. I expect the GOP to hold in North Carolina, Georgia, Minnesota, and Mississippi.
My House call: Democrats make more signifigant gains
I can't give an exact number but expect big gains for them once again.
And now for my calls three weeks from the election. Every week I take the oppurtunity to change these calls up until the election, however I don't have to change them.
My presidential call: Barack Obama will win the election on November 4th, 2008.
But it won't be a landslide. Although McCain is trailing right now, I predict that he will regain Ohio, Florida, Missouri, and North Carolina. Nevada will be too close to call, however it will be Colorado that puts Obama over the edge, as he edges McCain by three or four points. He will have little struggle in New Hampshire, Michigan, Wisconsion, and Pennsylvania.
My Senate call: Democrats take 57 seats, and the GOP hold on to filibuster powers.
Alaska remains the toss-up, as it depends on how the trial of Ted Stevens goes, but I expect the Democrats to make gains in New Hampshire, Oregan, and New Mexico. I expect the GOP to hold in North Carolina, Georgia, Minnesota, and Mississippi.
My House call: Democrats make more signifigant gains
I can't give an exact number but expect big gains for them once again.
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