What a difference from the election night results just last month. Saxby Chambliss retained his seat for senate in what turned out to be a landslide. At last check it appears as though Chambliss will win by a margin or 7 or 8 points, a far cry from the massive upswing of Democratic voters a month ago.
All the reasons I expected Chambliss to win yesterday rang pretty true, as black turnout was not very high, Republicans in a red state seemed pretty worried, and Chambliss pretty much had already won.
So if Coleman holds on in Minnesota, the GOP will likely feel pretty relieved that things did not turn out much worse.
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Chambliss and Martin Scramble for Georgia Tonight, Coleman and Franken Still in Battle
It will be a big night for both parties as the run-off for senate in my home state of Georgia. Polls have shown a consistent 3-5 point advantage for Chambliss, which is welcomed by Republicans as the Minnesota race continues to be recounted. My own projection is pointing to a 54-46% win for the Republican, but one has to wonder who will show up the second time.
I think there is a good chance that Chambliss wins by a comfortable margin. Here are my list of reasons.
1- The Black Vote
With the race only centered on Chambliss and Martin, I do not see the high black turnout this time around. The African-American vote was ridiculously higher than normal due to Obama on the ticket, but I don't expect those kind of numbers again.
2- Previous Vote
Saxby Chambliss won on election night. He was 0.2% from claiming an actual majority. This was with the high democratic numbers and again, the African-American vote. I would have to assume that his three point margin should actually increase.
3- Fear of Filibuster-Proof Majority for Democrats
This is still Georgia. Saxby is not the most popular person in my state, but he is a Republican in a red state. Many GOPers are scared that the Democrats will take that majority, as Minnesota is still unsettled. Even many independents do not want one party with complete domination, and that certainly plays into the hands of Chambliss.
As for Minnesota, I have been looking very often on Coldheartedtruth for the latest information on the senate seat in his home state. Right now, the Coleman camp still maintains a lead of 135 votes with 92% of the state recounted. Many are starting to believe that Coleman will hold on despite the relentless efforts by Democrats to take the seat. For Republicans in Minnesota, you have to be thankful that there is no run-off, because Franken probably wins, especially with the backing of many big name Democrats in a blue state.
I think there is a good chance that Chambliss wins by a comfortable margin. Here are my list of reasons.
1- The Black Vote
With the race only centered on Chambliss and Martin, I do not see the high black turnout this time around. The African-American vote was ridiculously higher than normal due to Obama on the ticket, but I don't expect those kind of numbers again.
2- Previous Vote
Saxby Chambliss won on election night. He was 0.2% from claiming an actual majority. This was with the high democratic numbers and again, the African-American vote. I would have to assume that his three point margin should actually increase.
3- Fear of Filibuster-Proof Majority for Democrats
This is still Georgia. Saxby is not the most popular person in my state, but he is a Republican in a red state. Many GOPers are scared that the Democrats will take that majority, as Minnesota is still unsettled. Even many independents do not want one party with complete domination, and that certainly plays into the hands of Chambliss.
As for Minnesota, I have been looking very often on Coldheartedtruth for the latest information on the senate seat in his home state. Right now, the Coleman camp still maintains a lead of 135 votes with 92% of the state recounted. Many are starting to believe that Coleman will hold on despite the relentless efforts by Democrats to take the seat. For Republicans in Minnesota, you have to be thankful that there is no run-off, because Franken probably wins, especially with the backing of many big name Democrats in a blue state.
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