New Projections are Here...

I'm refreshed, and unlike McCain in the polls, I'm doing great as well. The projections are here and just to assure, it is currently only a rough draft of what I hope to make the projection pages look like. So hopefully I can continue to expand on the site.

So here is the deal for my lastest projection. Barack Obama continues to pull away from John McCain, but despite those numbers, I think John McCain shouldn't feel down in the dumps. There actually are encouraging things to look at for him. Here are some...

1. Despite a recent 'out there' poll by Survey USA, three straight polls have showed John McCain with a moderate lead in Indiana. This is a state that is too reliable for me to believe it could make that signifigant of a jump.

2. He continues to hold a narrow lead in Nevada. Pretty good sign considering he is in his roughest polling trend to date.

3. Missouri is doing much better for McCain as of late, I think he will be fine...but beware, Obama is ready to steal this state away.

4. Florida has consistently polled well for him..look for him to take this state.

5. All the states that McCain needs to be close are. Colorado is within 2 point, Ohio is within 2 points, Pennsylvania is with 4, Michigan is within 4, Oregan within 4, and Iowa within 5. Expect Virgina to jump ship back in favor of McCain at some point.

For Barack Obama, there is really only two you can really say.

1. You have the huge lead in both state by state polling, and national polling.

2. You are keeping many solid southern states such as Virgina, Missouri, Arkansas, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Louisiana pretty close. And even though you may lose every single one of these states, all the money McCain is forced to pour into these states is money he won't be putting into Ohio, Michigan, Oregan, Colorado amoung others.

1 comments:

Anonymous said...

Like it or not, Barack Obama (Dem) is already elected the next President of the United States, no ifs, ands or buts!