The second installment into my State to State Race outlook moves to two states that may be competitive, and at the same time may not be so competitive.
First, lets take a look at Arizona. With McCain as the nominee, it makes be believe that this typical battleground state should lean more toward the GOP side in the presidential race. Arizona will not have a Senate or Governor race this year, but there are a few House races to look in to. District 1 will be an open seat this year, and in an area that is leaning toward the democrats at the moment, it is a place that could be hotly contested. Another race to look at is District 5 where J.D. Hayworth will battle to regain the seat he lost to Harold Mitchell. District 8 may also be one to look at in the future.
Next let's look at Arkansas. Assuming that Obama gets the nomination over Clinton, McCain should be the clear favorite in a state that has been trending Republican in previous elections. Early polls have shown it very close though, so there is no choice but to label it a Weak Hold. Not much else is expected to happen in Arkansas, as popular Senator Mark Pryor looks to cruise to an easy victory and retain his seat for Democrats in the senate. Also, there is no competitive house races at this point and no Governor race will occur in this cycle.
Stay tuned for: California, Colorado
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2 comments:
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Arizona is a Battleground state, because the Obama campaign is ignoring most of AZ. No offices, no support. If McCain has a single office in the county, people will think he supports them.
Obama needs to step up, and talk to Arizona. Arizona will help turn the tide, if they are given a chance.
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