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Late Merry Christmas!
Huckabee Soaring/Romney's Chances Fading, More Iowa
In the same poll that shows Huckabee ahead by 22%, also shows Obama storming ahead to a lead of six points. Obama is at 35%, Clinton is at 29%, with Edwards hanging around with 18% of the vote. I don't know if it is enough to win the entire primary, but this is the fourth poll out of five to give Obama the edge. The last two have him above the margin of error also.
Hard to believe, but a month ago Clinton and Romney seemed to have things wrapped up in Iowa.
Now, I'm Almost Convinced, Murtha Sees Progress
On another note, the progress has been so significant that even John Murtha acknowledged that the surge is working. Murtha just returned from a Thanksgiving visit to Iraq and stated that he was most encouraged by the progress of a once out of control area of the Anbar province.
Who knows, times have been hard, but things might be starting to turn around.
Does the Public Feel Progress?
Now I'll be hounest, if someone asked me how that poll would turn out before it was taken, I would have been more likely to have said it would drop instead of increase. I have thought for a while that the surge has helped Iraq. Not saved, mind you, but it should be fair to say that it has been very beneficial to the progress in Iraq. Maybe the public is finally starting to believe that a stable Iraq is possible. This is a man that really hopes so.
Early Thoughts on Senate & House, Corker Comments
A couple of you who were wondering about the Bob Corker statements, I put the main part of the conference below. Some have made a big deal about this, but personally I don't have a problem with it. I think if Republicans and Democrats alike have a lot of unrest with this war (Liberals just love to rub the whole disaster in Republican faces for political points), and Corker is the same way. It is no secret that Bush hasn't been very plain since day one of this war and Corker as a new senator hasn't really found the awnsers that he and the American people are looking for, Corker stated:
"Underwhelmed. I was in the White House a number of times to talk about the
issue, and I may rankle some in the room saying this, but I was very
underwhelmed with what discussions took place at the White House,” Corker
said. A reporter would later ask, "I was concerned about your statement that you
were underwhelmed with what was going on in the White House. Did you mean with him or with his staff?”“Let me say this. George Bush is a very compassionate person. He’s a very
good person. And a lot of people don’t see that in him, and there’s many
people in this room who might disagree with that…. I just felt a little bit
underwhelmed by our discussions, the complexity of them, the depth of them.”
Huckabee on the Move?, Endorsements
If you're wondering about the democrats, it is still about the same. Clinton grabs 39%, actually the lowest amount of support since Semptember, Obama has got 21%, while John Edwards remains back at 16%
In another note, Pat Robertson has shockingly thrown his support to Giuliani for President. Many think this could give Giuliani a bit of a boost, thinking that conservatives may make the move to Giuliani. This is also a downer for Mitt Romney who has been fighting to get social conservatives for some time. Speaking of endorsements, Sam Brownback, who has already withdrawn from the race for president, is expected to endorse John McCain pretty soon. I don't see much coming from this, considering Brownback didn't have a long list of followers or money in his bid for office.
Where I'm Leaning
Meanwhile, I have started trailing away from the prospects of Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney. I was never high on Romney, but Thompson has been a drag for me lately. Giuliani hasn't really changed for me. I kind of knew what I was expecting from Giuliani from the beginning so he is still my second choice for the time being.
On the Democratic side, it has closed up in Iowa. Obama may have gained, but I still think Clinton is the easy favorite. Obama IS making progress though and still has the potential for an upset. John Edwards is the only democrat I actually like, even though I don't really agree with him a lot. Either way, his campaign has been slipping and it doesn't seem as if he will survive very long.
This may come as a shock, but expect things to change before it's all over.
A New Poll
Getting Back Into It...
Quick Prayer
Jim Gilmore Drops Out, 08 Leaders
Although I liked Gilmore, he is not a candidate that had much of a Chance to win. At this point, I believe that John Edwards or Hillary Clinton will win for the democrats; the edge handed to Clinton as she barley has the lead in Iowa. I wouldn't be suprised to see a Clinton/Edwards ticket, but I don't know if Edwards would want to go through the whole deal again as VP. On the Republican side, it is in the air. The edge seems to be for Romney as he has the lead in many polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire, but Fred Thompson isn't even an offical candidate and he is on his heels. He actually leads in Iowa in one poll. In the Grand picture, Thompson has already taken the lead in places like Texas, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, and his home state of Tennessee. I would place my odds on Thompson before Romney at this point.
GOP Hub, Adding Links
There have been a few leave a comment or e-mail me about adding blogs to my site, and I have a simple policy. Anything that is politically related and agrees to add me to their blog also, I am more than happy to accept.
If your website is not politically related, I will still take a look at your site, but I will only make certain exceptions. So don't be afraid to ask me about exchanging links because I am more than willing. If you do want to make a request, e-mail me at jordanbhuff@yahoo.com or leave a comment.
No Room to Talk, Things to Expect
Some have asked for my opinion on what they should expect in the 2008 election. It's a little to early to know where everything is going, but personally here is what I think may happen. The GOP should make a number of gains in the house races. That is one thing that I feel confident about in 08. As far as the senate, both the GOP and Democrats have a strong chance to pick up places in 08. The best chance for Republicans is in Louisiana where Mary Landrieu is in a bad situtation because there may not be enough demcrats that left during Katrina to give her or any democrat to win in the near future. As for Democrats, Colorado is the best chance in the OPEN SEAT race. As for president, I feel it's up in the air. Either Thompson or Giuliani is likely to get the nod in my opinion, with Romney and McCain with a slim chance. Hillary and Obama seem to be the front runners, but I would not be suprised to see Edwards make a late run to steal the nomination. Of Course, this is all up in the air and will likely change soon. Either way, it should be fun.
Coulter Vs. Mrs. Edwards, O'Riley Vs. MSNBC
Ann Coulter was in the news again, and as wacky and pointless it is to hear her, the Liberal media found a way to twist things into making John Edwards wife a victim of radical religious right hate. Remember, this is coming form 'the most reliable news news networks' that present all the facts and are balanced and fair. When I turned on the television in the morning a few days ago I head this: "The wife of John Edwards has attacked on Ann Coulter on a radio show after Coulter said the day before that she wished John Edwards had died in a terrorist attack."
Personally, upon hearing that I was mad. My thoughts were that Coulter needs to shut up and get a life. This was in my head all day, and it took Glenn Beck on Headline News late at night to set it straight. Here are Coulter's acutal words: “..But about the same time, you know, Bill Maher was not joking and saying he wished Dick Cheney had been killed in a terrorist attack. So, I’ve learned my lesson. If I’m gonna’ say anything about John Edwards in the future, I’ll just wish he had been killed in a terrorist assassination plot.”
I know Democrats have something in defense of this balanced, one-sided report. On other news MSNBC and Bill O'Riley are at it again over claims made by O'Riley about a double murder suicide that was related to WWE super star Chris Benoit. I did not see this, but apparently Bill said that Beniot's wife was at part to blame over what happened. The only way I would agree with that is if she knew she and her child were at risk and did nothing about it. Maybe that was the case, but again I don't know all the facts. I could believe that he may have been abusive, and a report has claimed that he injected his son with steroids. All I know is that it seemed to perfect time for MSNBC to spout off on how stupid Bill O'Riley is, and they aren't afraid to say it on air. Another chance to be fair and unbiased.
Now while I'm on a tear of the 'biased' stuff, I am up front with the fact that Fox News does plenty of the same thing for Republicans. But for some Liberals just to talk about how bad Fox News is and not be up front with how poor the other networks that are to thier liking is, they need to use their heads and find something resonable to complain about.
Bloomberg, Thompson Movement, and Updates
There is good news though. Thompson has now stormed by Giuliani in the lastest Rasmussen poll, which puts him ahead by 5. If he can win the primary, it would seem that he wouldn't take as many votes away from him as he would Rudy in a general election. In fact, for those democrats and moderates who are scared to death of a Hillary presidency, Bloomberg is a pretty good alternative, but for the right-wing would not be, so it could actually help the Republican. Another possible scenario. It is at least fun to think about at least.
As for Thompson, a couple of new polls have been released and he has now taken over Nevada, and Texas. Those are good indications that Thompson is on a strong rise. Those are the only new polls at the moment that include Thompson. This can be found on my 2008 Primary page.
A Couple of Things...
Also, I've got a new poll set up at the top of the site asking if you would support an invasion of Iran. Be sure to vote, and keep looking for more and more features to come.